Introduction
Technology has now improved since 2008 (when I first
created this page) and we have found ways to create more suitable file
sizes for digital versions of our books, sizes might still be as large
as 50M but not the original 500M plus that they were. Sounds great but
theres a
catch. Once I looked at the sales numbers, I found for most of our
books we can only afford to produce one version of a book. So what is
the single format that ALL walkers can use? Currently its a printed
book.
Let me explain, overnight walking guides (most of our books are such)
only sell in small numbers. Most of these books only sell between 300
and 500 copies a year. A minimum commercial colour print run is 3000 to
4000 copies - the more pages in the book, the larger the print run
needed to make it commercially worthwhile. You can now work out why
walking guide books in Australia last for 6 to 10 years before there is
another edition. You can also see why very few books get multiple
editions - authors write a book hoping to make a decent amount of money
then get disappointed with tiny yearly cheques and just drop it
(authors get a maximum of 10% of selling price, work it out $30 x 500 x
10% = $1500 per year, not much pay for up to a year of work). If we
also produced
digital versions, I am certain that for almost every digital version
sold, that would be one less printed book sold. As it is not worthwhile
printing any less than 3000 copies (for colour) we would probably have
to drop
the printed book completely if we made a digital version. In other
words, sales numbers are so low that only one form of an overnight
walking guide book is worth producing. Yes some book runs can be as low
as 1500 or 2000 copies but they are black and white
printing only - is that what walkers want us to do, return to black and
white only?
The other side of this issue is, if we go fully digital, which version,
an ebook or maybe an iphone app or some other as yet to be determined
format for the latest gadget!. For an ebook you will need a computer
(yes most have them so thats OK) but you also should use a laser
printer as you will need to print hard copies - inkjet printing runs
when wet so avoid it if possible. So ebooks are possibly feasible as
most will be able to read them but disadvantages are lower quality
printed output when walking,
and they will be carrying
more weight as the paper is also heavier. Specialist versions to use
while on a walk for
google kindle and ibook etc are the same as iphone apps - read next
paragraph.
iPhone apps
The other currently popular format I get asked for at the moment is an
iphone app,
well they are not ideal. Great gadget, very impressive and great
potential for many applications but for bushwalking, they
are not waterproof, the screen is fairly easily broken and also the
batteries only last only a couple of days of use, not ideal for number
one navigation device on multi-week walks in Tasmania! The Apple
contract is also appalling as it gives all sorts of rights of the work
to Apple including the ability to reduce the books price without asking
the publisher/author
for permission. Also will
iphones exist in 10 years or even 5 years time, the best gadget that
all want then might not be made by Apple, think back 10 years what we
had then - could you have predicted the latest phone would be made by
Apple! To avoid a non-working phone and not being able to use an
app on a walk.some will say you should carry a backup book copy but
remember, book sales for walking guides are already very low, if we did
a digital version there
would be no printed backup book to take! As I see it, at the moment an
iphone app is not worth considering as surveys show that only 11% of
ebook sales are for smartphones (apps) and at best ebooks are projected
to
rise to be around 25% of all book sales. So for 500 printed book sales
per
year, thats 125 ebook sales, which translates to 14 apps per year,
would it be worth all the programming work for an app for
sales of 14 copies per year, I dont think Apple would be
interested - also for us it would take less
time
to answer 14 emails a year with a detailed reply than write,
design and edit an
iphone app. Yes first year app sales might be higher but you must
consider long term averages if you want the app to exist and be updated
in the future. Maybe Apple iphones are here to stay (it you really
think so buy their shares) but I suspect they will be another fad, next
year there will be another better or cheaper phone made by someone else
with less
restrictive licensing. Essentially the same also applies to ebook
sales - while some walkers would love an ebook version, the reality is
that sales would be too low for it to be worthwhile doing - if the big
publishers struggle to make a profit on ebooks for best sellers where
they sell a million printed books or more then it should be
obvious it is currently not worthwhile for any tiny guide book
publisher with
small book sales to
take.
As I see it at present, ALL walkers can carry printed pages and they
can be used without requiring other technology such as phones,
batteries or electronic devices. A printed book is currently available
to almost everybody
and at present it is
the best version to produce for bushwalking use. If you want to carry
less weight, then cut off the spine and carry just the relevant pages,
you will be surprised at how light they are, in fact they are usually
lighter than a spare set of batteries. Some dont like cutting books up,
I dont see it as being any different
from buying an ebook and printing just the pages you need, the end
result is the same. If you dont like cutting up books, buy two copies,
one for the shelf and one for cutting up to take on walks, increased
sales would also help the publisher to produce the next edition
earlier. Advantages of offset printing is that even if the
pages get wet they can still be used, yes you need to dry them a bit
but offset printing does not run like inkjet printing. Some have asked
how to cut off the spine - get a stanley or similar knife, use a
straight edge (timber or metal) and simply cut 2 to 3mm from the spine.
Dont try to cut the whole book in one go, rather multiple cuts will
remove up to 10 pages at each cut.
eBooks for us
Its possible at some stage we will decide to produce some books as an
ebook version but when we do that, the printed book will never reappear
as its not worth doing both - once digital copies exist, sales
of a printed walking guide book would drop in numbers and probably
never be
enough to be again worth printing. If we went digital, hopefully ebook
sales would be around the same as before but if the ebook version did
not sell well enough, then a possible outcome is that we might drop
support
for that book completely -
essentially not update it with new information - if not enough are
willing to pay for ebooks then we dont see why we should put time into
updating them. Essentially we write books to help others enjoy the
places
we have seen, if too few want that help then why spend up to a thousand
hours plus producing the information.
We have now spent some time researching how to create an eBook. While
it initially sounded attractive we have found some significant problems
for our type of books. The first is that most devices are still black
and white and maps will tend to merge into an overlapping mass of
similar toned lines. Couple that with the low resolution of 72dpi for
images and graphics leads to maps that when they are printed out, fine
text of 5 or 6 points can be
so fuzzy that they are often unreadable. The image resolution in ePub
files is designed to look fine on screen , photographs often print OK
but things like maps with fine lines and fine text are mashed in jpegs.
PDFs dont suffer from that probelm but
most eBook sales are currently not in pdf format. Essentially
digital books have been designed for books that are primarily all text
such as paperback best-sellers.
Ebooks - the current state
As for overseas travel guides where ebook guides are
starting to appear, with a target market of hundreds of millions
(Particularly the USA and Europe) rather
than our tiny 22 million, they can have larger print runs (50,000 plus)
and also do
new
editions more often. Also larger markets can support both digital
and printed versions at the same time as they are selling thousands and
in some cases hundreds of thousands each year, not just hundreds.
However, even
in those
much larger markets, only a small number of successful printed books
are actually making
a profit as an ebook. I have had discussions with two publishers of
outdoor books (December 2010). One has put several travel books into
digital format - users expect more than just pdf files as they want
interactive navigation, the text had to be added to and reorganised,
many links and indexes had to be added and maps redone and linked to
the text so they could be zoomed in and out, link to other maps etc,
this requires programming, not just text writing. The total cost was
just over $100,000, a large investment, with prices of $10 (less
commission and author fees means the publisher would get around $4)
they would need to sell an extra 25,000 digital copies just to pay for
setup
costs. Another publisher is putting one of their guide books into an
iphone app, much of the work was done free by the authors but even so
it still cost the publisher more than $10,000, he estimated if he had
to pay wages
for the development, it would have cost close to $100,000 and he could
never afford that. With such high setup costs and with walking
guide sales in the hundreds per year it should be obvious to all that
it is simply not worthwhile. Any digital books we produce will have to
stay with simple navigation as anything else is simply too expensive.
Yes, with my extensive programming experience, I can write the code
myself but I am not prepared to spend an extra years work writing code
for a handful of walkers - at the moment I prefer to spend more time
walking
and less on the computer. At present we are considering providing one
online ebook and see what the response is, I suspect we will not sell
many copies. As for providing all our books as ebooks for free - after
reading my page about
copyright you might
understand why we would not bother and instead stop writing and just
walk for ourselves if
that happened..
There is another potential problem of going digital as sales would
inevitably
fall
once ebooks are put into public online libraries where many could get
it for
free (or nearly free) -
it would then not be worth doing another edition at all..Yes you can
borrow a
printed book from a public library now but thats not quite the same as
everyone instantly accessing a
libraries contents over the web - national libraries in many countries
are currently working at putting their entire digital collections
online. Most readers will not know that you have to give the
national library a free copy of every book (both print and digital
books)
which they can then loan for free. Digital sales do work for some books
but
its currently the minority - most publishers have not yet returned a
profit on most of their digital ebooks and will find it even harder to
do
so once the libraries complete their online projects. There has been
some discussion about libraries charging for online borrowing and
paying the publisher but it looks like being a few cents to the
publisher for each borrow, not the couple of dollars the publisher
would get from an ebook sale. As an example, in Australia under Public
Lending Rights for printed books, authors
currently get about
$1.30 per year for each copy of their printed books in libraries
(regardless of how many times its borrowed), less than what they get if
one reader bought one copy! Work it out, if we
sold an online book
for say $10 and the library 'loans' it for something less than $1,
which will
most readers get. Then with 500 book borrows for a few cents each,
would you
create a digital walking guide book for a cheque from the library
somewhere between $10
to $100 each year? There are some methods like DRM that restricts how
many copies libraries can loan but users dont like DRM etc.
Printed books are not perfect either. Disadvantages of a printed book
are the expense for us to print (we
would like to avoid that but digital can
actually cost more!) and they also have to be stored and
posted/freighted to places. They also they get out of date as its many
years between editions but that can be partially overcome by providing
online
updates. Advantages of printed books are they are
less wasteful of ink and paper (provided you need hard copy) and you
end up with something tangible
that may be worth keeping. Recent surveys of users of kindle and other
ebook readers have shown that almost all users of these technologies
still buy printed books as well so even those using the latest
technology still prefer printed books for many uses.
Book Industry Trends
Some interesting aspects about books and publishing have come from the
latest Book Industry Strategy Group report that was chaired by
Barry Jones and released in September 2011 (its a
government report). It shows that printed book sales are remaining
fairly steady, more than what many expected. There is a slow increase
over the last decade but its
slightly smaller than the inflation increase which means in real terms
it is dropping slightly - not a drastic sales drop but if a business
plans on
increased sales then static growth can be disastrous as we have seen
with some recent book chain collapses. Digital book sales are expected
to grow dramatically but reading the fine print shows that while the
most
optimistic estimate is it will rise from 1% to be 25% of all book sales
in 4 years, the reality is it will probably only rise from 1% to
between 5 to
15%. While significant, it is clear ebooks are not going to replace
most printed books in the near future. With current ebook sales of 1%
it also explains why most publishers cannot make a profit from current
ebook
sales. Those who want ebooks make a lot of noise on the web but the
reality is not many of them actually buy ebooks! An even more
interesting and alarming part of the report shows that the mean author
income from books has decreased from $23,000 in 2001 to $11,000 in
2008 - you can see that authors are poorly paid. The report
comments that the booksellers, distributors and publishers are paying
authors
less as they want to increase their profits and use the extra costs of
ebooks
and digital production as a reason to pay authors less. As an author
and self-publisher we
can verify that this is indeed the case as the bookshops and
distributors keep asking us to take less and less while retail
prices remain the same. If this trend continues then authors will
either simply give up or 'cheat' more when writing a book. A blatant
example of cheating was an infamous travel guide to a south american
country which
was written by a person who had never visited the country - with
decreasing author payments such incidences can be expected to become
more common. Essentially the industry is forgetting that authors
already get the lowest pay of anyone in the book system, paying
them even less will probably result in more cheating and less authors
overall - the bookshops and publishers have forgotten that without
authors they dont have a business!. The report comments that reduced
pay to authors has forced many into self-publishing but for
most this does not work either as the report comments that 40% of all
publishers (mainly self-publishers) are effectively locked out of the
national book distribution system. The future looks bleak for authors
as the retail and distribution part of the book industry is dominated
by big business - authors are individuals and will always be 'small'
businesses and hence are unable to bargain for a fair return. As an
example, comparing mean income shows that an editor gets
paid about 5 times what an author gets - this does not look very fair.
Personally, we
have seen this pressure on authors to accept less pay as a
publisher we once used to work with asked us to work for less pay and
at the same time commented in their newsletter that
they did not understand why most authors were not writing more than one
book for them to publish. Essentially they could not see that they
already paid the authors peanuts and were reducing payments even more -
authors could not live on the income and were leaving to earn a
living elsewhere.
Your thoughts on the above are welcomed as digital books and current
trends are issues
we have
been looking at and the thoughts of others are welcomed. Should we keep
printing books as we have done or simply stop printed books completely
and go digital only as some seem to want. Maybe it will all get too
hard to sell books in any format in the future when copies will become
available in libraries very cheap or free and authors get paid
less and less!. The alternative then is for
us and other author/publishers to stop producung walking
guides (and other books that have only small sales), retire and spend
more time in the bush. I
know that to some
copyright seems selfish, but its not, you may find my page about the
history of copyright interesting! Without
some way for an author
(and publisher) to maybe get a fair return for their efforts (there is
no
guarantee there will be a profit), most
books would never be written or published and the public would not get
the opportunity to read and share the authors knowledge and thoughts.